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China's new normal to promote steady development of oil industry
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- Time of issue:2020-03-31 14:57
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China's new normal to promote steady development of oil industry
- Categories:Industry News
- Author:
- Origin:
- Time of issue:2020-03-31 14:57
- Views:
Information
China's economy into the new normal lead to a stable demand for energy, overseas resources more smooth channel
- Lorenzo County
At present, China's economic and social is entering a new normal. In terms of content, the new normal means that the economic and social development from the old equilibrium to a new equilibrium. This change is reflected in three aspects: one is that the economy is growing rapidly from high growth to high growth; the two is the structure of the economic structure shifted from the relatively extensive structure; three is the power source of economic and social development by the factor input to innovation driven. Once the new equilibrium system is established, it will continue to run for a period of time, which has a relatively stable characteristic.
After the new normal concept, actively adapt to the new normal has become the common choice and action target of domestic industries, the oil industry has also ushered in a good opportunity to reshape the development system and operation mechanism.
Low oil prices, overseas resources channels increasingly clear
The new normal has an important impact on the energy demand of our country. Energy consumption is an important part of the social and economic development of China, and is the source of the economic and social development. Since the 90's of last century, China has become a net importer of crude oil, the external dependence of crude oil increased year by year in high growth driven by 60%. Natural gas consumption is also in the same period began to accelerate, import volume increased year by year, and now the external dependence reached 30%. In China's energy self-sufficiency rate is maintained at about 90% of the large background, the relative shortage of oil and gas supply and the improvement of the degree of dependence on foreign oil and gas supply security has gradually become the core of the national energy supply security in the high growth situation.
In order to guarantee the national economic development of oil and gas demand, our country put forward a foothold in the domestic and the development of the supply of ideas, the domestic oil and gas industry in the high growth period, the development of large oil and gas industry, the pressure is also relatively large. Now with the adjustment of economic structure, the economy into the new normal, oil and gas consumption continued to grow, but the growth rate has declined, the oil and gas industry to withstand the energy conservation is not as big as the past.
Global oil and gas supply new normal ease the pressure on the supply of oil and gas in china. Under the new normal global oil and gas supply, oil and gas prices low, provides an opportunity for China's use of overseas resources, making China's domestic oil and gas industry will be as high growth period, continue to maintain the momentum of development of dagankuaishang. Of course, the new normal is not unique to China, and is common to the world. After the financial crisis, the global economy into a downturn, has not been fully restored. Economic downturn, oil and gas demand growth is relatively slow.
And in this period, coincides with the U.S. shale oil and gas revolution broke out and sustained, shale oil and gas production growth has gradually become the world's oil and gas production center in the Western Hemisphere, oil and gas supply multi polarization pattern to further form. In order to seize market share, the organization of petroleum exporting countries to limit production as a means to achieve a lot of the insured (OPEC) started production policy, prompted a further decline in global oil prices. Coupled with the recent signs of loosening of sanctions against Iran, the price of oil in the long term is expected to further down. The decline in oil prices means opportunity for our country, the cost of using the overseas resources. The use of overseas resources is an important channel for the supply of China, this channel is smooth and diverse, the domestic oil and gas supply pressure will be reduced.
Recuperate, reshape the development mode.
On the domestic oil and gas industry itself, the development of the new normal is also facing severe challenges, one of the main reasons is the oil price, gas price downturn and the long-term low operation may.
Because of the low oil and gas prices, the domestic oil and gas industry, especially the upstream oil and gas exploration and development and the international experience similar to the counterparts, the operation is severely restricted. Under the conditions of high investment cost and small profit margins, the oil companies have to delay or abandon some projects with high difficulty and high cost. But from a dialectical point of view, the challenges are often the opportunity. Since the channel relatively smoothly using national oil and gas consumption growth rate of decline in domestic and overseas resources, oil and gas industry in the pressure relief under the condition of a good rest, and take the opportunity to recharge your batteries, trying to reshape the development mode, or license for future scientific development and lay a good foundation for take-off again.
The remodeling of the development model does not mean stagnation, but to seek a way to effectively break through the bottleneck of oil prices in the long-term low oil prices. From the experience of the development of international counterparts, breaking the low oil prices, out of the development of the means of the main technical innovation and management innovation of two categories. From the perspective of development mechanism, the power to promote innovation and some of the changes from the internal environment, some of the changes from the external environment, such as changes in policy environment.
Today, the domestic oil and gas industry has made considerable progress and development after decades of development, but the problem is also a lot of problems in low oil prices more obvious. Old oil and gas field resource condition has become a common phenomenon. The new oil and gas fields are very difficult and complex, and need a lot of investment. Unconventional oil and gas to replace the conventional oil and gas, coal bed methane, shale oil and other unconventional oil and gas, because of technical shortages, lack of basic understanding of the lack of resources and infrastructure, and other aspects of the lack of large-scale industrialization, the national energy supply is limited. To maintain the stability of domestic oil and gas production in low oil prices and even large-scale growth, the urgent need to work in the reform of technology innovation and breakthrough, development and operation mechanism, as soon as possible to explore and find suitable for China's oil and gas resources and development environment of the development path.
Strengthen the technology and management innovation, to meet the future development
Under high oil prices, the problem is already there, and now face low oil prices, its urgent need not to say. To solve this problem, the development of the United States oil and gas industry is a mirror. American shale oil and gas industry suffered a severe impact after the advent of low oil prices, but its development is still not up to the standard, relying on the technology innovation and flexible and efficient development of the system and the operation mechanism, which is a good reference for the development of domestic oil and gas industry in low oil prices. At present, low oil prices is accelerating the good time of domestic oil and gas industry development and reform, need to think carefully in the "rehabilitation" stage, push forward.
One of the new normal performance of the oil and gas industry development is low oil price. But from the history of the oil and gas market development, oil price fluctuations are normal. If the new norm of this concept in the history and the future of the field to study, the new normal should mean that the development of the. From the perspective of development, a balanced system of economic and social development, which is formed by many factors, may be stable for a period of time after its establishment, but it will eventually be broken. At present, although the international oil prices downturn, but the possibility of a rebound in oil prices is not without. If our country in a rebound in oil prices before will straighten out the domestic oil and gas development mechanism for future oil prices, the economic and social development again in the new "normal", discusses the national security of energy supply problems may once again returned to the line of sight, then, strong ability of domestic oil and gas supply could play a role.
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