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Fuel prices next year, "three" first tone may run aground
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- Time of issue:2020-03-31 14:57
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Fuel prices next year, "three" first tone may run aground
- Categories:Industry News
- Author:
- Origin:
- Time of issue:2020-03-31 14:57
- Views:
Finished product oil price adjustment in 2016 with "three" - on December 28 games, the national development and reform commission website news shows, according to the recent changes in the international market oil prices, according to the current pricing mechanism for refined oil, since 28 24 when domestic gasoline and diesel prices per ton increase 100 yuan and 95 yuan respectively.
The tenth raised the oil price is adjusted for years.Long the petrochemical network analyst li yan said the pricing is also the smallest increase in this year.Before this pricing, pricing the smallest increase in June this year, at that time, gasoline and diesel are raised 110 yuan/ton.Back in 2016 refined oil price adjustment, under the influence of floor price bottomed out and crude oil, domestic oil prices this year as a whole more tuned to give priority to.
Time will enter in 2017, since January 1, the production of the producers formal implementation.
Zhuo and information product oil analyst Xu Na to the "daily economic news" reporter said, cuts the formal implementation of the crude oil market boost is obvious, but at the same time also can't rule out the late American shale oil production increase bad influence on oil prices down.Expect the next valuation cycle, the international crude oil or turbulence rising trend as a whole.Thus, in terms of the next cycle (on January 12, 2017, 24), domestic oil product market or face stranded or rose slightly.
Last Thursday, Saudi Arabia's energy minister optimism about the price of crude oil, as OPEC production commitments, oil prices will rebound in 2017, prices in the global oil industry problems will be readily solved.
Li yan believed that at the current level of international crude oil price calculation, the next round of refined oil price adjustment will start small increase trends, but a corresponding rise in in only 10 yuan/tons.Production agreement will take effect on the market mentality is a positive good.Now each big oil producers to cut production plans for position and more positive, as long as the production process to promote smooth, occurrence peak in January in international crude oil price is still expected to be high.
Li also said that, if the production process - and restraining the rally in oil.Expect the next round of refined oil price adjustment stranded probability is relatively large.
Zhongyu SangXiao information analyst told the daily economic news "reporter said, cuts the execution of the helps to alleviate the situation of excess supply, pushing oil recovery.However, cuts to the oil market booster will also depends on the enforcement of oil-producing nations to production, if the production agreements, international oil market is still poor to return to decline.
SangXiao believes that in 2017 the United States the development trend of shale oil became the uncertain factors that affect the oil market, the second half of this year the oil market rebound after the active number of oil drilling there has been a continuous increase in the United States, the trump of shale oil support will be influence the international oil market supply and demand balance of a variable, and the federal reserve to raise interest rates expected will suppress the oil market to a certain extent.
"Taken together, still face a lot of resistance, the international oil market rebounded in 2017 if oil producers production agreement executed smoothly, in the first half of the international oil prices are expected to maintain 55 ~ $65 / barrel price run, if the world oil market supply and demand side to inventory process smoothly and increasingly balance of the second half of the international oil market is expected to hit $70 a barrel or more price."SangXiao said.
Xu Na said, if the second half of 2017 agreement to continue production, is expected next year, the overall level of the oil price is a $10 or so this year is expected to increase;If it is difficult to continue, do not rule out the possibility of the second half of next year, prices return to $40 area.
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